Daily Brief
Friday, 11 September 2026
Market snapshot · last 24h
Gold -0.18%
$4,399.5
Nasdaq +0.34%
29,235
EUR/USD +0.02%
1.1616
Bitcoin +0.93%
$77,246
Likely market impact typical directional bias under each outcome · not a forecast
rises little change falls
Today 07:00 2:00AM ET UK

GDP m/m

Better than expectedAs expectedWorse than expected
GBP/USD
  • GBP/USD A stronger UK GDP figure suggests a healthier economy, which tends to strengthen the British pound.
Today 13:30 8:30AM ET US

Core CPI m/m

also covers: Core CPI y/y, CPI m/m, CPI y/y
Better than expectedAs expectedWorse than expected
DXY
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
XAU/USD
NQ
BTC/USD
  • DXY Higher US core inflation increases expectations for tighter monetary policy, strengthening the US dollar.
  • EUR/USD Higher US core inflation increases expectations for tighter monetary policy, strengthening the US dollar and weakening the euro.
  • GBP/USD Higher US core inflation increases expectations for tighter monetary policy, strengthening the US dollar and weakening the British pound.
  • XAU/USD Gold tends to weaken when the US dollar strengthens, and rallies when real US rates fall.
  • NQ Higher US core inflation can lead to expectations of higher interest rates, which may negatively impact equities.
  • BTC/USD Higher US core inflation can lead to expectations of higher interest rates, which may negatively impact cryptocurrencies.

UK GDP Surprises, Boosts Pound; US Inflation Data in Focus

The British Pound is making waves today after the UK's GDP data for July exceeded expectations, providing a boost against major currencies. Meanwhile, traders are eyeing upcoming US inflation data, which could influence Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates.

What's on the calendar

Today, the economic calendar is packed with high-impact data releases. The UK's GDP for July came in at 0.4%, surpassing the forecast of 0.0% and marking a continuation of growth from June's 0.3% rise. Across the Atlantic, the US will release its Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, both monthly and yearly, at 12:30 PM UTC. The monthly Core CPI is expected to remain steady at 0.2%, while the yearly figure is forecasted to slightly decrease to 2.4% from 2.5%. Additionally, the overall CPI is anticipated to show a monthly increase to 0.4% from 0.1%. Later, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to speak, which could impact the Euro.

What's moving

The British Pound has surged following the release of stronger-than-expected GDP data. The GBP/USD pair rose to near 1.3518 as the market reacted positively to the UK's economic performance. This unexpected growth has also caused the Euro to retreat from its weekly highs against the Pound. Meanwhile, the Euro is facing downside risks against the US Dollar, with strategists noting limited potential for a sustained drop below 1.1585 in the near term.

Bottom line

Today's market movements are heavily influenced by the UK's surprising GDP growth, which has strengthened the Pound. Traders are now turning their attention to the US inflation data, which could provide further direction for currency markets and influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.

This brief is a snapshot of public commentary at the time of writing — not financial advice.