Daily Brief
Tuesday, 1 September 2026
Market snapshot · last 24h
Gold +0.03%
$4,482.8
Nasdaq +0.09%
29,541
EUR/USD -0.16%
1.1605
Bitcoin +0.39%
$78,863
Likely market impact typical directional bias under each outcome · not a forecast
rises little change falls
Today 15:00 10:00AM ET US

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Better than expectedAs expectedWorse than expected
DXY
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
XAU/USD
NQ
  • DXY A stronger ISM Manufacturing PMI suggests a stronger US economy, which tends to boost the US dollar.
  • EUR/USD A stronger US economy makes the US dollar more attractive, typically causing the euro to weaken against it.
  • GBP/USD A stronger US economy tends to strengthen the US dollar, leading to a weaker British pound against it.
  • XAU/USD Gold tends to weaken when the US dollar strengthens, and rallies when real US rates fall.
  • NQ Stronger economic data can lead to expectations of higher interest rates, which can negatively impact equities.

Market Brief: Eurozone Inflation and US Manufacturing in Focus

Today's market activity is shaped by key economic data releases from both sides of the Atlantic. Investors are closely watching inflation figures from the Eurozone and manufacturing data from the United States, which could influence currency movements and broader market sentiment.

What's on the calendar

The Eurozone is set to release its Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) Flash Estimate for August, with expectations holding steady at 2.5% year-on-year. The broader CPI Flash Estimate is anticipated to rise to 3.3% from the previous 2.9%. Across the pond, the United States will publish its ISM Manufacturing PMI, a key indicator of economic health, with forecasts slightly down at 55.2 from 55.6 previously. Additionally, the ISM Manufacturing Prices and JOLTS Job Openings reports are due, both expected to show slight declines.

What's moving

The Euro is experiencing a modest rebound against the US Dollar, trading just above 1.16, despite recent pressure from disappointing German retail sales data, which fell by 3.4% month-on-month in July. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is slightly stronger against the Canadian Dollar, trading near 1.3863, as ongoing trade tensions between the US and Canada weigh on the Loonie. The Dollar's strength is further supported by rising US Treasury yields, driven by surging oil prices amid renewed Middle East conflicts.

Bottom line

Today's focus is on inflation data from the Eurozone and manufacturing figures from the US, both of which could sway market dynamics. The Euro is attempting to recover despite weak German retail sales, while the US Dollar remains buoyant amid geopolitical tensions and rising yields.

This brief is a snapshot of public commentary at the time of writing — not financial advice.