Daily Brief
Thursday, 25 June 2026
Market snapshot · last 24h
Gold -0.47%
$3,990.1
Nasdaq +2.06%
30,123
EUR/USD +0.05%
1.1366
Bitcoin +0.97%
$61,572
Likely market impact typical directional bias under each outcome · not a forecast
rises little change falls
Today 13:30 8:30AM ET US

Core PCE Price Index m/m

also covers: Final GDP q/q
Better than expectedAs expectedWorse than expected
DXY
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
XAU/USD
NQ
BTC/USD
  • DXY Higher-than-expected inflation suggests the central bank might raise rates more aggressively, strengthening the US dollar.
  • EUR/USD A stronger US dollar typically leads to a weaker euro against the dollar.
  • GBP/USD A stronger US dollar typically leads to a weaker British pound against the dollar.
  • XAU/USD Gold tends to weaken when the US dollar strengthens, and rallies when real US rates fall.
  • NQ Higher inflation can lead to expectations of higher interest rates, which can negatively impact equities.
  • BTC/USD Bitcoin often moves inversely to the US dollar, weakening when the dollar strengthens.

Market Brief for June 25, 2026

Today's market landscape is shaped by a mix of economic data releases and geopolitical developments. Investors are particularly focused on upcoming U.S. economic indicators, while global markets react to various corporate and geopolitical news.

What's on the calendar

Today, several key U.S. economic indicators are set to be released, which could influence market movements. At 12:30 UTC, the Core PCE Price Index, a measure of inflation, will be announced with a forecast of 0.3%, up from the previous 0.2%. Additionally, the Final GDP figures are expected to confirm a 1.6% growth rate for the quarter. Other data releases include the GDP Price Index and Unemployment Claims, both of which are anticipated to remain stable. Earlier, President Trump delivered a speech, though its market impact is considered medium.

What's moving

In the commodities market, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices have declined to around $69, reaching levels last seen before the Middle East conflict, as oil flows increase. This decline in oil prices is also impacting currency markets, with the Indian Rupee strengthening against the U.S. Dollar. Meanwhile, gold prices have rebounded from recent lows, trading near the $4,000 mark as the U.S. Dollar's rally pauses ahead of the PCE data release.

In the stock market, Taiwan's index closed lower, with the Taiwan Weighted down by 1.34%. In contrast, OVHcloud reported a 6.9% increase in Q3 revenue, maintaining its full-year forecast. Additionally, aerospace parts maker Doncasters successfully raised $919.3 million in its U.S. IPO.

Bottom line

Today's market dynamics are heavily influenced by upcoming U.S. economic data, which could provide further direction for both currency and commodity markets. Investors are also keeping an eye on corporate earnings and geopolitical developments for additional cues.

This brief is a snapshot of public commentary at the time of writing — not financial advice.